Today The Economist launched its first real-time midterm model, which uses statistical forecasting to predict how many seats in the House of Representatives each party is likely to win in this year’s US midterm elections.
View the model here:
Applying cutting-edge machine-learning techniques to political science, the model combines information from polling, past elections, special elections, fundraising, ideology and “fundamental” factors like the economy and incumbency. It has been trained on every election cycle since 1942 and nearly 6,500 historical district races. The model will conduct 4.35 million simulated elections every day until the vote, live-updating to incorporate up-to-the-minute data.
The Economist’s midterm model currently predicts that Democrats have a 2 in 3 (or 65%) chance of taking the House, and holding an average of 222 seats, or 4 more than is needed for a majority. It shows that there is a 95% chance that the Democrats will hold between 206 and 241 seats.
The Economist’s data team plans to launch a similar model to forecast Senate results later in the year once primaries are complete and more polls become available.
Find out more about The Economist’s midterm model here.
Singer-songwriter Kiiara talks her very first collaboration with Lil Wayne on the remix of her hit single, “Gold”, moving to Los Angles to pursue her music career and more in an all new First of All. The episode premiered on Fuse’s Youtube Channel.
As her new single, “Messy” climbs the charts and adds to her 100+ music streams on Youtube, Kiiara is opening up to fans about the first album she ever bought, the first bad grade she ever received, and more of her firsts.
Check out her First of All interview !
More about Kiiara :
Dress for Success Worldwide announces the addition of two talented leaders to the Dress for Success Board of Directors- Chief Executive Officer of M Booth, Dale Bornstein, and Chief Operating Officer at Etsy, Linda Findley Kozlowski. These powerful women join an already impressive roster of board members, offering new perspectives and an array of skill sets derived from more than 25 years of experience in public relations and international marketing industries.
In 2013, after a 25-year career at Ketchum, Dale Bornstein took the reins of M Booth and led the firm’s drive towards integration and expansion, deepening and building new capabilities and recruiting best-in-class talent, resulting in the agency’s most successful period of client acquisition and revenue growth. Dale believes that people who live inspiring lives do inspiring work. This philosophy is at the core of M Booth’s employee-centric culture, where staff are encouraged to pursue their passions and apply that inspiration to driving client success. The firm has doubled in size under her leadership, attracted diverse talent and won every major industry award for both the agency and its clients. Dale has been named to PRWeek’s “Power List” twice over the last two years and the agency has won over 40 industry awards since 2015. She is currently serving a three year term for the Public Relations Council (PRC) where she helps champion the SHEQUALITY
Linda Findley Kozlowski
Linda Findley Kozlowski, COO of Etsy, the global marketplace for unique and creative goods, also brings 25 years of experience in operations, strategy, marketing, business development, public relations and customer service. During her time at both public and private companies, she has proven her ability to scale organizations, expand into new markets, introduce products, manage change, improve processes, increase efficiency, and adapt within complex and rapidly changing environments. An accomplished technology, small business and consumer product executive, she has overseen growth initiatives in almost every region of the world including Europe, Asia, Latin America, Russia and India.
About Dress for Success:
Dress for Success is an international not-for-profit organization that empowers women to achieve economic independence by providing a network of support, professional attire and the development tools to help women thrive in work and in life. Since starting operations in 1997, Dress for Success has expanded to 160 cities in 30 countries. To date, Dress for Success has helped over 1,000,000 women work towards self-sufficiency. Visit www.dressforsuccess.org to learn more.
Why do some people dive, some survive and others thrive? The answer, Randall Bell, Ph.D., reveals, is surprisingly simple: choices.
Bell, a socio-economist and the CEO of Landmark Research Group, has developed an easy-to-follow formula for authentic growth and success based upon 25 years of behavioral research.
In his book, Me We Do Be: The Four Cornerstones of Success, Bell masterfully interweaves stories from his consulting work on high-profile cases — including Chernobyl, the World Trade Center, and O.J. Simpson — with findings from behavioral studies and his own survey of 5,000 people to reveal the daily habits that can make or break both personal and professional growth and success.
In Me We Do Be, Bell explains that all behaviors can be organized into four cornerstones:
• Me is quality thinking that builds wisdom.
• We habits form quality relationships.
• Do actions build productivity.
• Be designs the future.
There is no one-size-fits-all definition of success. For some, it’s making money. For others it’s having a loving family, winning a competition, completing a degree or beating cancer. The power of Me We Do Be is that it connects all the dots and creates a fresh perspective for moving forward, allowing readers to define what success means to them as individuals, while sharing the foundational elements that apply to everyone.
Previously, the author led a national practice at PricewaterhouseCoopers, the world’s largest consulting ﬁrm. He has consulted on hundreds of cases, including the Flight 93 Crash Site, the BP Oil Spill, Hurricane Katrina and the nuclear testing at Bikini Atoll.
Often a guest of the media, Bell has been proﬁled in The Wall Street Journal, People magazine, The New York Times, the Chicago Tribune, the Los Angeles Times, CNN, World News Tonight with Diane Sawyer, 20/20, Entertainment Tonight and by newscasters on every major television network.
Please see Dr. Bell in a recent appearance on The Today Show.
Robert G. Allen, New York Times Best-Selling Author of Creating Wealth: “A fascinating blend of personal anecdotes from Dr. Bell’s vast professional experience interspersed with powerful quotes, insights and a timeless list of valuable habits designed to improve any life. There are many golden nuggets in here.”
Jeffrey W. Hayzlett, New York Times Best-Selling Author of The Mirror Test: “Some think that complex problems require complex solutions. This is not always true. The four cornerstones of Me We Do Be are a simple, effective way to ignite passion in any life or business!”
Steve Alten, New York Times Best-Selling Author: “Eye-opening … Randall Bell’s Me We Do Be is as inspiring as Napoleon Hill’s classic Think and Grow Rich.”
Bob Proctor, Best-Selling Author of You Were Born Rich: “Me We Do Be shows how the little things we do can have a dramatic impact on our quality of life; it’s that one small adjustment that can make the difference between winning and losing. Read, learn and act on the great information provided in this book.”
For more information on Randall Bell and his motivational book, please visit the website: www.drbell.com.
Available online and at fine bookstores everywhere.
History-making multiplatinum Dallas, TX artist Post Malone unlocks the digital pre-order for his forthcoming second full-length album and what will be the biggest musical event of 2018, beerbongs & bentleys [Republic Records]. Order HERE.
Post Malone also revealed the album’s powerhouse tracklisting. In addition to the quintuple-platinum record-breaking #1 smash “rockstar” [feat. 21 Savage], gold-certified “Candy Paint,” and recent Billboard Hot 100 hit “Psycho” [feat. Ty Dolla $ign], it boasts “Spoil My Night” [feat. Swae Lee], “Ball For Me” [feat. Nicki Minaj],“Same Bitches” [feat. G-Eazy & YG], and more. beerbongs & bentleys is available via digital streaming platforms Friday, April 27th.
Furthermore, he took over the 2018 Billboard Music Awards with a stunning 13 nominations. Among those nods, he’s up for the evening’s top prizes, including Top Male Artist, Top Hot 100 Artist, Top Rap Artist, and Top Billboard 200 Album in addition to two nominations in the Top Streaming Song (Audio) category.
Most recently, “rockstar” shattered the record for “Longest #1 Run on the Spotify Global Chart” with “rockstar” [feat. 21 Savage]. The track held the top spot on the chart for an unprecedented and unmatched 114 days. Quickly achieving a RIAA 5X-Platinum certification, it spent eight consecutive weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100, the longest stay atop the chart for a rap song in 2017. It also made history as “The first U.S. Hip-Hop Song to be #1 for Consecutive Weeks in the UK since Run D.M.C.’s ‘It’s Like That’ in 1998” and set Canada’s record for “All Time Streams in One Week.” With over 1+ billion worldwide streams, global consumption exceeds 8 million.
- “Spoil My Night” feat. Swae Lee
- “Rich & Sad”
- “Zack and Codeine”
- “Takin’ Shots”
- “rockstar” feat. 21 Savage
- “Over Now”
- “Psycho” feat. Ty Dolla $ign
- “Better Now”
- “Ball For Me” feat. Nicki Minaj
- “Blame It On Me”
- “Same Bitches” feat. G-Eazy & YG
- “Jonestown (Interlude)”
- “92 Explorer”
- “Candy Paint”
- “Sugar Wraith”
More about “beerbongs & bentleys” :
Hip-hop lyricist Michelle Cadreau has developed a writing and rapping style with both subtlety and introspection to reflect her Native Canadian Indian and Polish ancestry. With four CDs to her credit, the Hamilton, Ontario melds hypnotic and soulful beats with her trademark urban poetry to create a performance style that is equally juxtaposed and complementary.
Given the native Indian name Blue Sky at birth by her grandmother (who was born on a reserve in northern Ontario), Cadreau has a tattoo on her back of blue zebra stripes in the shape of an eye with the inscription ‘Blue Sky.’ It is a physical reminder of her spiritual relationship to the earth and heavens and her family.
With musical influences that include Biggie Smalls, Eminem, Dr. Dre, and Snoop Dogg, Cadreau proudly emulates their style. Her ideas often come from a word or phrase that sparks inspiration and builds from there. She also credits her parents for her love of music. Both played in bands most of their lives – her mother (a nurse by profession) is a vocalist and drummer and her father a vocalist and bass guitarist.
Like her mother, Cadreau also plays drums, having begun lessons at age five. She is also an accomplished painter and jewelry designer and has a degree in interior design. Her connection to the visual arts has been a foundation for her lyrics, which paint pictures of the joy and pain of life.
Among her releases is the breakout number, “Precipitation,” an articulate and explicit song that boldly details a rapper giving a slam performance for fans; “Like a Killer,” uses boxing to symbolize violence; and “Hip Hop Clerk” is a commentary on making it in the music industry.
Also included is “Ineffable,” a look at fan adulation; “Give Me The Prize,” a nod to intelligence and the rewards it can provide; and “Tallest Mountain,” a heartfelt look at making your way up the hip hop ladder. Her strongest response by far from both fans and critics online has been for the song “Ghetto Survival,” which equates creating powerful rap music with persistence and success.
Cadreau is using her lyrical deftness and distinct vantage point to create music that is true to her while paying homage to the complex backstory of rap and hip hop.
For more information:
MAINGEAR PC, an award-winning PC system builder of custom gaming desktops and notebooks, announced that Joel Zimmerman, known professionally as deadmau5, has joined MAINGEAR as an advisor and investor, and that they have partnered with NetCapital to launch an equity offering open to the public.
Grammy nominated producer, musician, composer, and life-long gamer, deadmau5, joins MAINGEAR as an advisor and takes a stake of the soaring PC gaming market by investing. “I first found MAINGEAR when looking for a high end PC for my studio, and started as a customer first. I became a huge fan” said deadmau5. “Since then MAINGEAR has powered all of my projects including, my recently released “where’s the drop?”. As a gamer at heart I’m a big believer that the future of PC gaming and eSports has amazing potential for growth. It was obvious to pick MAINGEAR as my first investment in the space and with MAINGEAR’s crowd raise you can invest as well. »
As an advisor, deadmau5 hopes to direct the future of PC gaming with MAINGEAR by advising on future products and projects. “It doesn’t get more authentic than working with deadmau5” said Wallace Santos, CEO and Founder. “He’s an amazing artist, hardcore gamer, MAINGEAR customer, and is one of the most technically driven people I have ever met. »
With over 15 years of experience crafting the industry’s most award-winning gaming PCs and growing a passionate community, MAINGEAR has established itself as a leader in the industry and is now opening up an opportunity for its community to invest. “I had the opportunity to engage with a few different VCs and the experience wasn’t always the best. While VC investment can be a great thing, it only makes sense if you find the right fit.” said Wallace Santos. “I didn’t want to bring on an investor that would suck the soul out of our business. After this experience we decided to ditch the traditional VC route altogether and instead offer equity to our community. »
“I’ve been in the gaming and tech space for as long as I can remember, and I can safely say there has never been a more exciting time in the history of our industry!” said Rahul Sood, CEO of Unikrn. “I’m excited for the future of MAINGEAR and the passionate community that they have built. As one of the most established high end PC builders on earth, we wanted to do a non-traditional raise and offer people from this community the opportunity to invest at the ground floor.”
For more information on MAINGEAR’s equity crowdfunding campaign, click HERE.
March has been Madness! (In the best of ways)
We’re kiiping busy, and hope you have been too. This year is already flying by and we’ve got so much to share!
#PressforProgress & #feff
Kiip is dedicated to supporting and growing an equal and diverse workforce and we know that means having an open and honest conversation about how we can do better. Take a look at what our leaders here at Kiip have to say about progress in 2018.
&#feff; Kiip Gets Into the Data & Audiences Business
We’ve been hard at work. Since we launched our Moments Table, many brands have asked if they can use our data more broadly. We finally launched our audiences into (initially) LiveRamp Data Store and now I am happy to report that you can buy moments audiences decoupled with our media.
On top of this, we rounded out our data suite with our Surveys product. Too often as marketers we are faced with limited 3rd party data options (largely cookie based or too probabilistic). We decided to use our mobile-first positioning and engagement unit in our ads to create a survey product where the marketer can simply ask the consumer (millions of them). With these survey responses we can create seed audiences activated on Kiip (or elsewhere as aforementioned) or simply qualify the success of your campaign. The possibilities are endless.
To help further hammer home the point of why we went into the data business, we put together some helpful content. An interesting tidbit: the VP of Netflix started quite a stir in 2016 when he suggested that demographic data was a thing of the past, or rather headed to the trash. I believe that marketing is heading from a segment-based approach to a signal-based approach. Here’s a post from one of our brilliant strategist Lauren, on how best to ensure that your audience data is used effectively and sourced transparently.
Okay so now you’ve read all about how to avoid the pitfalls (in the post linked above), are you ready to talk strategy and leave generic data in the past? Schedule a complimentary session today and learn more about how our audience targeting stands out from the crowd.
The Summer Forecast
Every month we release mobile app behavior trends called M.I.C. drops. These help our media buying customers to get ahead of trends and know how to buy more effectively based on what people are going to be spending time doing. The March M.I.C. drop stats are in and it’s sunny with a chance of 2 in 3 teens working this summer. This summer polls 55% of teens working and earning over $1K. We’ve collected the data, now you can make accurate predictions on what they’ll be spending that money on and when. See for yourself how best to reach a teen audience this summer!
Case Study Center
- We’ve been working with the app store’s most popular free fitness app for a while now: Sweatcoin. Here’s our case study with how we worked with them to monetize and engage their most active users.
- Here’s another case study about a lifestyle app that’s all about beauty and selfies. You wouldn’t believe how many people love this app.
Live Nation Urban announces the fourth annual Summer Block Party Festival– the preeminent destination for soul and R&B devotees since 2015. Tickets go on-sale Friday April 20th at 10am.
After successfully expanding to include Houston in 2017, the original Chicago site will now host a second night for the very first time. Celebrating another first, Summer Block Party Festival now arrives in Philadelphia this summer. Once again, the lineup showcases some of the most important, impactful, and inimitable voices in soul, R&B, and hip-hop.
GRAMMY Award-winning modern icon Jill Scott returns home to Philly in order to headline the first night June 30 at The Mann Music Center. Miguel Fantasia top a dynamic bill at Cynthia Woods Pavilion in Houston July 7. Keith Sweat headlines the Chicago show at Huntington Bank Pavilion at Northerly Island July 14 followed by Babyface and Boyz II Men the next evening July 15.
The full itinerary and each respective lineup can be found enclosed below.
Summer Block Party set the industry standard for R&B and soul-centric festivals. Launched in Chicago during 2015, it has gone on to consistently sell out every year and spotlight not only genre luminaries, but the next generation’s hottest young R&B stars. Previous lineups boasted everyone from Erykah Badu and Jazmine Sullivan to Ledisi and SWV, to name a few.
It also continues a blockbuster 2018 for the team at Live Nation Urban. The year’s stacked slate includes not only Summer Block Party shows, but Rap Caviar Live, Broccoli City Festival, Roots Picnic, A Night of Symphonic Hip Hop, and Kirk Franklin’s Exodus Music & Arts Festival. LNU has positioned itself at the forefront of the culture, ushering it forward with each subsequent show.
“We feel blessed to be able to continue to build and grow this Summer Block Party platform, it’s important to give R&B artists and fans a place to engage in a live setting. I’m looking forward to the shows this year and adding even more cities to the series next year”, says Shawn Gee, President of Live Nation Urban.
SUMER BLOCK PARTY FESTIVAL DATES:
6/30 Philadelphia, PA – The Mann Music Center (Jill Scott, Boyz 2 Men, DJ Jazzy Jeff, + Special Guests)
7/7 Houston, TX – Cynthia Woods Pavilion (Miguel, Fantasia, Ne-Yo, Tank)
7/14 Chicago, IL – Huntington Bank Pavilion @ Northerly Island (Keith Sweat, Ja Rule & Ashanti, Ne-Yo, Tank, Daley)
7/15 Chicago, IL – Huntington Bank Pavilion @ Northerly Island (Babyface, Ludacris, Boyz 2 Men, Brandy, Kevin Ross)